TIME DEPENDENT PREDICTION OF MONTHLY GLOBAL SOLAR RADIATION AND SUNSHINE DURATION USING EXPONENTIALLY WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE IN SOUTHEASTERN OF TURKEY

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dc.contributor.authorGumus, Bilal
dc.contributor.authorKilic, Hibetullah
dc.date.accessioned2024-04-24T17:18:44Z
dc.date.available2024-04-24T17:18:44Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.departmentDicle Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper proposes a new approach for prediction of global solar radiation and sunshine duration based on earlier years of data for the eastern region of Turkey which has a high potential of solar energy. The proposed method predicts the basic parameters using time series and an analysis method. This method is exponentially weighted moving average. This model estimates next years global solar radiation and sunshine duration and is evaluated by statistical parameters, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and coefficient of determination, to examine the success of the proposed technique. In our study, the result shows that this method is effective in predicting global solar radiation and sunshine duration as regards of MAPE and coefficient of determination. The calculated MAPE which are between 0-10 kWh/m(2) per day were assumed excellent and coefficient of determination were found significant per every year.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipScientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK)en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research was funded by a grant from the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK).en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.2298/TSCI160107228K
dc.identifier.endpage951en_US
dc.identifier.issn0354-9836
dc.identifier.issn2334-7163
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85047491613
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage943en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI160107228K
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11468/18888
dc.identifier.volume22en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000431923000016
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherVinca Inst Nuclear Scien_US
dc.relation.ispartofThermal Science
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectExponentially Weighted Moving Averageen_US
dc.subjectGlobal Solar Radiationen_US
dc.subjectSunshine Durationen_US
dc.titleTIME DEPENDENT PREDICTION OF MONTHLY GLOBAL SOLAR RADIATION AND SUNSHINE DURATION USING EXPONENTIALLY WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE IN SOUTHEASTERN OF TURKEYen_US
dc.titleTIME DEPENDENT PREDICTION OF MONTHLY GLOBAL SOLAR RADIATION AND SUNSHINE DURATION USING EXPONENTIALLY WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE IN SOUTHEASTERN OF TURKEY
dc.typeArticleen_US

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