Predictability of risk appetite in Turkey: Local versus global factors

Yükleniyor...
Küçük Resim

Tarih

2023

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Elsevier

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

We examine the impacts of four local and five global factors on the risk appetite in Turkey using weekly data for the period 2008–2022. There are significant causal effects of both global and local factors under various market conditions. Local factors, particularly CDS spreads, exert stronger causal effects than global factors, and qualified investors are more predictable than domestic or foreign investors. Uncertainty during the pandemic crisis weakens the explanatory powers of most factors. All investor groups are generally exposed to negative shocks and this effect strengthens at lower and middle quantiles. Policy implications are discussed.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Risk appetite (RISE) in Turkey, Credit default swap (CDS), Financial stress, Safe-haven index, Oil volatility and geopolitical risk, Quantile-based analysis

Kaynak

Emerging Markets Review

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

Sayı

55

Künye

Gemici, E., Gök, R. ve Bouri, E. (2023). Predictability of risk appetite in Turkey: Local versus global factors. Emerging Markets Review, (55), 1-28.